Champions League · League phase MD6
Manchester United
MUN
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United43%
Draw28%
RB Leipzig30%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.17
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession40%
47%Territory43%
8%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.11
2.9%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Man United, 2 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Man United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
RB Leipzig
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.