Champions League · League phase MD6
Manchester United
MUN
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United49%
Draw25%
RB Leipzig26%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession50%
47%Territory44%
14%From set plays14%
0.17Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness2.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Man United, 1 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.