Champions League · League phase MD4
Manchester United
MUN
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United36%
Draw29%
Roma35%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.28
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession64%
47%Territory53%
8%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.11
2.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Man United, 2 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Man United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.