Champions League · League phase MD4
Manchester United
MUN
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United47%
Draw26%
Roma27%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.17
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession58%
47%Territory51%
14%From set plays17%
0.17Chance quality0.06
3.7%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Man United, 1 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.