Champions League · League phase MD7
Manchester United
MUN
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United15%
Draw21%
Bayern München64%
Expected goals
0.95 – 2.10
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.5%
- 0–210.5%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession66%
47%Territory67%
14%From set plays27%
0.17Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Man United, 1 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.