Champions League · League phase MD7
Manchester United
MUN
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United14%
Draw21%
Bayern München65%
Expected goals
0.87 – 2.07
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.5%
- 0–211.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–37.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession56%
47%Territory53%
8%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.15
2.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Man United, 2 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Man United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.