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Champions League · League phase MD7

FC Porto

FCP

Slavia Prague

SLA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Porto48%
Draw27%
Slavia Prague25%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.09

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1011.4%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.3%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

36%Possession37%
25%Territory38%
7%From set plays59%
0.06Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness12.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for FC Porto, 1 for Slavia Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

FC Porto

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.