Champions League · League phase MD4
FC Porto
FCP
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto36%
Draw30%
Napoli34%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.19
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–110.7%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession46%
32%Territory45%
17%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Porto, 2 for Napoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Porto
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.