Champions League · League phase MD5
Sporting CP
SCP
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP61%
Draw24%
Man United15%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.79
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession44%
39%Territory47%
2%From set plays8%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Man United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.