Champions League · League phase MD5
Sporting CP
SCP
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP57%
Draw25%
Man United19%
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.93
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession58%
32%Territory47%
5%From set plays14%
0.22Chance quality0.17
5.4%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sporting CP, 1 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.