Champions League · League phase MD7
Sporting CP
SCP
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP42%
Draw27%
Barcelona31%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.25
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession62%
39%Territory41%
2%From set plays7%
0.18Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.