Champions League · League phase MD7
Sporting CP
SCP
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP39%
Draw28%
Barcelona33%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.25
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession72%
32%Territory50%
5%From set plays25%
0.22Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sporting CP, 1 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.