Champions League · League phase MD3
Roma
ROM
Slovan Bratislava
SLO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma46%
Draw26%
Slovan Bratislava28%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.21
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession28%
51%Territory26%
17%From set plays30%
0.06Chance quality0.08
2.9%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Roma, 1 for Slovan Bratislava. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Slovan Bratislava
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.