Champions League · League phase MD8
Roma
ROM
Lille
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma49%
Draw26%
Lille24%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.08
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession49%
53%Territory25%
16%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Roma, 2 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.