Champions League · League phase MD6
Roma
ROM
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma24%
Draw28%
Sporting CP49%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.49
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.1%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession38%
51%Territory32%
17%From set plays5%
0.06Chance quality0.22
2.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Roma, 1 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.