Champions League · League phase MD6
Roma
ROM
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma27%
Draw29%
Sporting CP45%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.40
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–112.5%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession53%
53%Territory39%
16%From set plays2%
0.11Chance quality0.18
5.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Roma, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.