Champions League · League phase MD8
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund59%
Draw22%
AEK Athens19%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.07
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession49%
51%Territory38%
5%From set plays39%
0.16Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Dortmund, 1 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Dortmund
AEK Athens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.