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Champions League · League phase MD8

Borussia Dortmund

DOR

AEK Athens

AEK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dortmund59%
Draw22%
AEK Athens19%

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.07

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.0%
  • 2110.0%
  • 109.9%
  • 209.3%
  • 316.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession49%
51%Territory38%
5%From set plays39%
0.16Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Dortmund, 1 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

AEK Athens

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.