Champions League · League phase MD4
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund59%
Draw22%
Real Betis19%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.12
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession55%
51%Territory39%
5%From set plays27%
0.16Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Dortmund, 1 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Dortmund
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.