Champions League · League phase MD4
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund56%
Draw24%
Real Betis20%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.02
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession52%
49%Territory55%
19%From set plays15%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Dortmund, 2 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Betis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.