Champions League · League phase MD6
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund37%
Draw28%
Inter36%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession49%
49%Territory44%
19%From set plays7%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Dortmund, 2 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.