Champions League · League phase MD6
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund33%
Draw27%
Inter40%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.46
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession64%
51%Territory59%
5%From set plays36%
0.16Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Dortmund, 1 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Dortmund
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.