Champions League · League phase MD5
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Viking
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid61%
Draw22%
Viking17%
Expected goals
1.96 – 0.95
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 2–010.4%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession40%
37%Territory40%
17%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atlético Madrid, 2 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.