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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD5

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Viking

VIK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Madrid59%
Draw22%
Viking19%

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.08

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession38%
32%Territory30%
11%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Atlético Madrid, 1 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.