Champions League · League phase MD2
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid53%
Draw24%
Man United23%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.22
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession58%
32%Territory47%
11%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.17
5.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Atlético Madrid, 1 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.