Champions League · League phase MD8
Barcelona
BAR
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona61%
Draw22%
Como18%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.06
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession54%
41%Territory36%
7%From set plays2%
0.12Chance quality0.15
3.8%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Barcelona, 2 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.