Champions League · League phase MD6
Barcelona
BAR
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona36%
Draw29%
Man City35%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.26
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
72%Possession64%
50%Territory51%
25%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.12
2.3%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Barcelona, 1 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Man City
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.