Champions League · League phase MD8
Arsenal
ARS
Sabah FK
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal84%
Draw11%
Sabah FK4%
Expected goals
2.80 – 0.55
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.0%
- 3–012.8%
- 1–010.2%
- 4–08.8%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession42%
71%Territory28%
6%From set plays10%
0.16Chance quality0.08
1.3%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Arsenal, 1 for Sabah FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sabah FK
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.