Champions League · League phase MD8
Arsenal
ARS
Sabah FK
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal80%
Draw14%
Sabah FK6%
Expected goals
2.52 – 0.56
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.8%
- 1–012.1%
- 3–012.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 4–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession45%
54%Territory33%
36%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.11
2.9%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Arsenal, 2 for Sabah FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.