Champions League · League phase MD8
Manchester City
MCI
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man City44%
Draw30%
Sporting CP27%
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.99
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession53%
49%Territory39%
31%From set plays2%
0.13Chance quality0.18
3.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Man City, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.