Champions League · League phase MD5
Inter
INT
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter59%
Draw24%
VfB Stuttgart17%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.89
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession59%
44%Territory51%
7%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Inter, 2 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
VfB Stuttgart
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.