Champions League · League phase MD5
Inter
INT
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter65%
Draw22%
VfB Stuttgart14%
Expected goals
1.97 – 0.82
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 2–011.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession62%
59%Territory49%
36%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.13
3.7%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Inter, 1 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.