Champions League · League phase MD3
Inter
INT
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter66%
Draw21%
Shakhtar Donetsk13%
Expected goals
1.96 – 0.77
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession46%
59%Territory25%
36%From set plays8%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Inter, 1 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shakhtar Donetsk
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.