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Champions League · League phase MD2

Inter

INT

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter68%
Draw19%
Club Brugge13%

Expected goals

2.24 – 0.93

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2010.6%
  • 1010.0%
  • 219.8%
  • 118.7%
  • 307.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

64%Possession64%
59%Territory44%
36%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.7%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Inter, 1 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.