Champions League · League phase MD7
Inter
INT
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter30%
Draw27%
Liverpool42%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.50
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession59%
44%Territory50%
7%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Inter, 2 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.