Champions League · League phase MD7
Inter
INT
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter30%
Draw29%
Liverpool40%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.32
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.7%
- 0–09.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession45%
59%Territory52%
36%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Inter, 1 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.