Champions League · League phase MD6
Liverpool
LIV
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool79%
Draw14%
FC Porto7%
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.66
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.3%
- 3–011.1%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 3–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession36%
52%Territory25%
12%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.06
6.7%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Liverpool, 1 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Liverpool
FC Porto
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.