Champions League · League phase MD6
Liverpool
LIV
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool78%
Draw15%
FC Porto7%
Expected goals
2.56 – 0.72
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.6%
- 3–010.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession42%
50%Territory32%
25%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Liverpool, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Liverpool
FC Porto
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.