Champions League · League phase MD7
Real Madrid
RMA
LASK
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Madrid69%
Draw18%
LASK13%
Expected goals
2.41 – 1.01
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
36%Possession51%
39%Territory39%
3%From set plays35%
0.18Chance quality0.07
2.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Real Madrid, 1 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
LASK
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.