Champions League · League phase MD7
Real Madrid
RMA
LASK
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Madrid72%
Draw16%
LASK11%
Expected goals
2.60 – 1.01
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.8%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession37%
40%Territory37%
36%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Real Madrid, 2 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.