Champions League · League phase MD5
Real Madrid
RMA
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Madrid64%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven17%
Expected goals
2.36 – 1.21
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
36%Possession54%
39%Territory41%
3%From set plays42%
0.18Chance quality0.04
2.8%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Real Madrid, 1 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PSV Eindhoven
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.