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Champions League · League phase MD6

Bayern München

BAY

Slavia Prague

SLA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bayern München80%
Draw14%
Slavia Prague6%

Expected goals

2.63 – 0.67

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.0%
  • 3–011.1%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession53%
53%Territory34%
17%From set plays27%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Bayern München, 2 for Slavia Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Slavia Prague

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.