Champions League · League phase MD6
Bayern München
BAY
Slavia Prague
SLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München84%
Draw11%
Slavia Prague5%
Expected goals
2.91 – 0.62
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.8%
- 3–012.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 4–08.5%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession37%
67%Territory38%
27%From set plays59%
0.10Chance quality0.09
2.3%Directness12.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bayern München, 1 for Slavia Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.