Champions League · League phase MD8
Bayern München
BAY
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München77%
Draw15%
Real Betis8%
Expected goals
2.55 – 0.76
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.1%
- 3–09.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession55%
67%Territory39%
27%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.09
2.3%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bayern München, 1 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.