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Champions League · League phase MD8

Bayern München

BAY

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bayern München72%
Draw17%
Real Betis10%

Expected goals

2.33 – 0.79

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.1%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–09.0%
  • 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession52%
53%Territory55%
17%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Bayern München, 2 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Real Betis

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.