Champions League · League phase MD8
Bayern München
BAY
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München72%
Draw17%
Real Betis10%
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.79
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.1%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession52%
53%Territory55%
17%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Bayern München, 2 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Betis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.