Champions League · League phase MD8
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG67%
Draw20%
Galatasaray14%
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.92
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
72%Possession62%
61%Territory47%
13%From set plays57%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for PSG, 1 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Galatasaray
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.