AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Al-Shamal
ALS
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Shamal49%
Draw27%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya24%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.02
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession44%
43%Territory32%
6.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al-Shamal, 2 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Shamal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.