AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Al-Shamal
ALS
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Shamal43%
Draw28%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya29%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.16
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession48%
30%Territory33%
5.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Shamal, 1 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.