AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
SHA
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC46%
Draw25%
Al Nassr FC28%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.30
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession58%
36%Territory45%
5.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC, 2 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.