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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8

Al-Sadd

ALD

Al Ittihad

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Sadd34%
Draw30%
Al Ittihad37%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.24

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al-Sadd will not mind.

41%Possession63%
35%Territory57%
7.4%Directness2.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al-Sadd, 3 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 53 matches, not the full season.