AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Al Hilal
ALI
Pakhtakor Tashkent
PAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal52%
Draw25%
Pakhtakor Tashkent23%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.12
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession54%
39%Territory41%
7.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Hilal, 2 for Pakhtakor Tashkent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hilal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Pakhtakor Tashkent
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.