AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Al Hilal
ALH
Pakhtakor Tashkent
PAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal43%
Draw27%
Pakhtakor Tashkent30%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.22
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
68%Possession43%
60%Territory25%
6.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Hilal, 1 for Pakhtakor Tashkent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Pakhtakor Tashkent
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.