AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Al-Gharafa
ALG
Tractor
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Gharafa40%
Draw29%
Tractor31%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.15
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession56%
41%Territory31%
8.0%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al-Gharafa, 2 for Tractor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.