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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8

Al Ahli

ALH

Al-Ain

ALA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Ahli36%
Draw26%
Al-Ain38%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.49

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession52%
37%Territory53%
4.9%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Ahli, 2 for Al-Ain. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.