AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Esteghlal
EST
Al-Wasl
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Esteghlal50%
Draw25%
Al-Wasl25%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.23
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession59%
32%Territory43%
4.4%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Esteghlal, 1 for Al-Wasl. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Wasl
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.