AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Esteghlal
EST
Al-Wasl
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Esteghlal48%
Draw26%
Al-Wasl26%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.16
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
26%Possession47%
34%Territory45%
8.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Esteghlal, 1 for Al-Wasl. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.