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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Al-Wasl

ALW

Al Hilal

ALH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Wasl40%
Draw27%
Al Hilal33%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.30

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 109.6%
  • 218.7%
  • 018.5%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession68%
45%Territory60%
5.5%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Wasl, 1 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.