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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

ALU

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

SHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya31%
Draw29%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC41%

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.34

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession43%
31%Territory36%
6.1%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya, 2 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.