AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al-Shamal
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC44%
Draw26%
Al-Shamal30%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.33
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession42%
45%Territory48%
5.4%Directness9.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Nassr FC, 1 for Al-Shamal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Shamal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.