AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7
Al Ittihad
ALT
Al-Gharafa
ALG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad46%
Draw27%
Al-Gharafa27%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.17
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession41%
55%Territory41%
2.3%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Ittihad, 2 for Al-Gharafa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.