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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Tractor

TRA

Al-Sadd

ALD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tractor45%
Draw29%
Al-Sadd26%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.01

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.0%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession40%
34%Territory38%
5.9%Directness8.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tractor, 2 for Al-Sadd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.