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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Al-Ain

ALA

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Ain47%
Draw26%
Al Qadsiah27%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.20

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession53%
51%Territory44%
7.5%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Ain, 1 for Al Qadsiah. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90