AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7
Pakhtakor Tashkent
PAK
Esteghlal
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pakhtakor Tashkent32%
Draw27%
Esteghlal41%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.46
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession51%
41%Territory32%
5.0%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Pakhtakor Tashkent, 2 for Esteghlal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Pakhtakor Tashkent
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.