AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7
Pakhtakor Tashkent
PAK
Esteghlal
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pakhtakor Tashkent38%
Draw28%
Esteghlal34%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.30
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession26%
25%Territory34%
6.7%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Pakhtakor Tashkent, 1 for Esteghlal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Pakhtakor Tashkent
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.