AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6
Al Ahli
ALH
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
SHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ahli40%
Draw28%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC32%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.22
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession43%
31%Territory36%
4.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Ahli, 2 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.