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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Al Ahli

ALL

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

SHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Ahli40%
Draw28%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC32%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.21

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1010.7%
  • 019.3%
  • 008.7%
  • 218.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession53%
47%Territory34%
4.6%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Ahli, 1 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Al Ahli

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.