AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6
Al-Gharafa
ALG
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Gharafa47%
Draw26%
Al Nassr FC27%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.20
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
32%Possession57%
28%Territory55%
10.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Gharafa, 1 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Gharafa
Al Nassr FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.