AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6
Al-Gharafa
ALG
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Gharafa36%
Draw25%
Al Nassr FC39%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.61
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
30%Possession50%
39%Territory37%
10.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al-Gharafa, 1 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.