AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6
Al-Sadd
ALD
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Sadd39%
Draw29%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya32%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.20
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession44%
38%Territory32%
8.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al-Sadd, 2 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.