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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Al Hilal

ALH

Al-Ain

ALA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Hilal38%
Draw27%
Al-Ain35%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.36

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 109.1%
  • 018.6%
  • 218.4%
  • 128.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

68%Possession43%
60%Territory51%
6.0%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Hilal, 1 for Al-Ain. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.