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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Al Hilal

ALI

Al-Ain

ALA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Hilal34%
Draw26%
Al-Ain40%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.54

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession52%
39%Territory53%
7.2%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Hilal, 2 for Al-Ain. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.