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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Al-Wasl

ALW

Al Ittihad

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Wasl37%
Draw27%
Al Ittihad36%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.40

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

63%Possession66%
46%Territory55%
5.0%Directness2.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Wasl, 2 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.