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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Al-Wasl

ALW

Al Ittihad

ALI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Wasl41%
Draw27%
Al Ittihad32%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.26

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession58%
45%Territory49%
5.5%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Wasl, 1 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.