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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Pakhtakor Tashkent

PAK

Tractor

TRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pakhtakor Tashkent37%
Draw29%
Tractor34%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.23

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession56%
41%Territory31%
5.0%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Pakhtakor Tashkent, 2 for Tractor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.