AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
SHA
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC46%
Draw28%
Al Qadsiah26%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.05
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession66%
36%Territory48%
5.2%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC, 1 for Al Qadsiah. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.